Surprising U.S. Birth Rates

Surprising U.S. Birth Rates

2021 birth rates increased significantly from 2020

One of the surprises coming out of the COVID crisis is that in 2021, the birth rate increased fairly significantly, reversing 2 years of declines. according to new research from the National Bureau of Economic Research. The study shows an increase in the birth rate of about 6% relative to the pre-virus trend. It’s too soon to know if this birth rate increase ends up being just a blip or the start of a longer-term trend. Longer-term trends are very important as we consider, at a minimum, the next generation of workers and taxpayers.

This is an encouraging report. The replace rate birth rate is 2.1 children for each woman of childbearing age—and that just keeps a population stable. The US has been trending below that since 2007. We hope these are primarily births to married dad-and-mom couples since that puts these babies in the best situation to thrive.


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